Prediction record
HiteconomyThe Federal Reserve lowers its target interest rate to 3.75% at the December 2025 FOMC meeting.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hiteconomy“it seems likely that they will in fact lower interest rates to 3.75%”
The Federal Reserve lowers its target interest rate to 3.75% at the December 2025 FOMC meeting.
- Made on
- 2025-12-09
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +3.68
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-12-10
The Fed cuts its target rate to 3.75% (a 25bp cut) at the December 2025 FOMC meeting.
Criterion (25bp cut to 3.75% at the Dec 2025 FOMC) satisfied. The Fed set a target RANGE of 3.50%–3.75%, whose upper bound is exactly 3.75% — matching the pundit's stated '3.75%' target and the 25bp size. Decision announced 2025-12-10, within the 2025-12-31 deadline.
Sources
Bitcoin Pre-FOMC
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
At the December 9–10, 2025 FOMC meeting, the Fed cut the federal funds target by 25bp to a range of 3.50%–3.75% (upper bound 3.75%), the third cut of 2025. Vote had three dissents (one for 50bp, two for no change).
Independent confirmation: 'US Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25 bps, bringing target range to 3.50–3.75%' at the December 2025 meeting.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+3.68- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +3.68
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The Federal Reserve lowers its target interest rate to 3.75…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-12-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources