Full record
HitcryptoThe crypto market trades lower during the first half of 2026.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“the market would likely go lower in the first half of 2026”
The crypto market trades lower during the first half of 2026.
- Made on
- 2025-11-17
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3.68
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2026-06-30
Total crypto market cap (or BTC price) makes a lower low / is net lower during H1 2026 relative to its late-2025 level.
Criterion clearly met: total crypto market cap and BTC price both made lower lows and were net lower throughout H1 2026 relative to the late-2025 level at which the call was made (BTC ~$87-90k / mcap well above $2T in Nov 2025).
Sources
Bitcoin: The Bulls Vs. The Bears
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Total crypto market cap fell from its Oct 6, 2025 all-time high of ~$4.27T to about $2.0T by June 2026 — a drop of more than $2.3T. BTC fell ~52-54% from its record (~$126k ATH) to roughly $58-60k by late June 2026. Prediction was made Nov 17, 2025, when the market sat well above these June 2026 levels; crypto was decisively net lower across H1 2026.
Fortune daily BTC price coverage (late June 2026): after a rally toward ~$74k in May, BTC corrected to roughly $58-60k by late June 2026 — a lower level than late 2025.
Corrections
- tags: Pure crypto price/level bet: add markets secondary to keep the market-timing track continuous (primary already correct).
Effect on the score
+3.68- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The crypto market trades lower during the first half of 202…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-11-17
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources