Full record

Hitcrypto

Ethereum underperforms Bitcoin (ETH/BTC stays weak) through the end of October 2025

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcecrypto

Scored prediction

Hitcrypto

at the very least ETH will stay weak against Bitcoin for the rest of the month

Ethereum underperforms Bitcoin (ETH/BTC stays weak) through the end of October 2025

Made on
2025-10-24
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Effect on score
+1.91

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2025-10-31

The ETH/BTC ratio does not strengthen (ETH underperforms or matches BTC) over the period 2025-10-24 to 2025-10-31.

Criterion: ETH/BTC does not strengthen (ETH underperforms or matches BTC) over 2025-10-24 to 2025-10-31. Satisfied — ETH declined markedly more than BTC into the Oct 31 close (~-10% vs ~-4%), so the ratio did not strengthen. Exact daily ETH/BTC closes for Oct 24 and Oct 31 could not be pulled from a primary tick source (Yahoo/exchange-rates history endpoints returned 503/403), but the direction is unambiguous from reputable market recaps and the broader ratio downtrend. Outcome value not assigned per instructions.

Sources

  • Ethereum: Dubious Speculation

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Over the last stretch of October 2025, Ethereum fell ~10% (to ~$3,900) while Bitcoin fell only ~4% (to ~$110,000) — ETH underperformed BTC, so the ETH/BTC ratio weakened over the period.

    Evidence

  • The ETH/BTC ratio was in a sustained downtrend from its ~0.043 peak on Aug 24, 2025 through late 2025 (staying under 0.05), consistent with continued ETH underperformance versus BTC across the Oct 24–31 window and beyond.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: ETH/BTC relative-performance claim → 'crypto' per closed dictionary.

Effect on the score

+1.91
How sure they sounded
85%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Ethereum underperforms Bitcoin (ETH/BTC stays weak) through…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2025-10-24

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