Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin dominance rises through October 2025, remaining in an uptrend into end of October.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“One of the things we mentioned was that it would likely find a low in September and then build off of that low, and that dominance should go up for basically all of October after forming a low in September.”
Bitcoin dominance rises through October 2025, remaining in an uptrend into end of October.
- Made on
- 2025-10-10
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-10-31
Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) trends net higher across October 2025 and is higher on ~2025-10-31 than its late-Sept/early-Oct low
Criterion has two parts: (a) net-higher trend across October and (b) Oct-31 value above the late-Sept/early-Oct low. Both are supported: dominance rose from a sub-58% early-October low to a ~61.4% peak, and even after a late-October rollover the end-of-month reading (~59-61%) stayed above that early-October low. Caveat: the 'remaining in an uptrend into end of October' framing is weakened by the late-October pullback, and exact Oct-31 close varies slightly by data source (CoinGecko vs TradingView BTC.D, which Cowen typically references). Outcome value not assigned per stage rules.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance: The Final Rotation is already Happening
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BTC dominance fell below ~58% in early October 2025, then rose to a peak near 61.4% mid-to-late October before rolling over — i.e., it trended net higher across the month from its early-October low.
Reporting on BTC.D near 59% notes it declined in November 2025 'from 61.4% to 58.8%,' implying the late-Oct / start-of-Nov reading was in the ~59-61% band — still above the sub-58% early-October low.
CoinGecko BTC dominance chart (reference series) confirms October 2025 dominance oscillated in the high-50s to low-60s%, bottoming early October and peaking mid/late October.
Corrections
- tags: Subject is Bitcoin dominance (crypto-market metric); 'crypto' fits and matches sibling records. Both in dictionary.
- Prediction timeframe: 'the next two and a half weeks' does not appear in the primary; only 'basically all of October' justifies the 2025-10-31 deadline.
Score contribution
+1.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance rises through October 2025, remaining in…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-10-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources