Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin dominance continues trending upward through October 2025
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“dominance has been slowly trending up, you know, the last few weeks and it should continue to trend up through the month of October”
Bitcoin dominance continues trending upward through October 2025
- Made on
- 2025-10-02
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-10-31
Bitcoin dominance at 2025-10-31 is higher than at the statement date (2025-10-02).
Criterion (BTC.D at 2025-10-31 > BTC.D at 2025-10-02) appears MET: dominance trended up through October, from ~57-58% to ~60%, driven by the Oct 10 crash disproportionately hitting altcoins. Moderate confidence: exact TradingView BTC.D daily prints for the two specific dates were not directly retrievable, so the directional conclusion rests on reported early-October (~57-58%) vs end-October/early-November (~60-61%) levels plus crash mechanics. Same source-provider caveat as the sibling >=60% record applies to absolute levels, but the DIRECTION (up over October) is consistent across trackers.
Sources
Bitcoin: The Beauty of Mathematics (Part 63)
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Early October 2025 BTC.D was ~57-58% (widely reported ~58% for early/mid October); by end of October it had risen to ~60% heading into the ~61% start-of-November print reported by CoinDesk, so BTC.D on 2025-10-31 was higher than on 2025-10-02.
Mechanism for the intra-October rise: the Oct 10, 2025 crash (largest liquidation event on record) hit altcoins harder than BTC. coinpaprika data shows BTC price $119,373 on Oct 2 vs $109,679 on Oct 31 (BTC cap $2.379T -> $2.187T), while altcoin caps fell more steeply, lifting BTC's share over the month.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+1.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance continues trending upward through October…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-10-02
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources