Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin dominance rises through the end of October 2025
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“dominance should go higher”
Bitcoin dominance rises through the end of October 2025
- Made on
- 2025-10-21
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-10-31
BTC dominance is higher on 2025-10-31 than on 2025-10-21.
Claim: BTC.D higher on Oct 31 than Oct 21, 2025. Multiple independent sources agree dominance climbed through late October (from the high-58%/59% area around the Oct 10 crash / Cowen's Oct 21 call up to ~60–61% by Nov 1) before reversing at the November open, supporting a higher Oct 31 than Oct 21. CAVEAT: I could not retrieve the exact BTC.D prints for Oct 21 and Oct 31 specifically (TradingView/CoinGecko charts are JS-rendered); resolution rests on consistent qualitative reporting of a late-October dominance rise peaking ~Nov 1, not on the two dated values.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance: The Final Rotation Continues
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BTC dominance dipped to ~58.4–58.5% around the Oct 10, 2025 flash crash (capital fled to BTC as alts fell far harder), then rose through the back half of October. Multiple sources put dominance at ~60–61% by the start of November 2025.
CoinDesk (Nov 28, 2025) explicitly states dominance ROSE in October and only reversed at the start of November: 'That's exactly what happened in October, but since the start of November dominance dropped.' It cites the early-November level near 61% (falling from 61% to as low as 58.5% during November).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+1.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance rises through the end of October 2025- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-10-21
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources