Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin's 50-day moving average crosses below its 200-day moving average (a death cross) in November 2025
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“We should see a death cross in November if the price action of Bitcoin still remains somewhat suppressed from the prior levels”
Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crosses below its 200-day moving average (a death cross) in November 2025
- Made on
- 2025-10-31
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-11-16
Bitcoin's 50-day MA crosses below its 200-day MA (death cross) at some point during November 2025
Criterion met: the 50/200-day death cross occurred on 2025-11-16, within November 2025. Clean resolution; corroborated by multiple outlets and Glassnode's moving-average chart.
Sources
Bitcoin: Doooooobious Spookulation
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crossed below its 200-day moving average on 2025-11-16, forming a confirmed death cross (~six weeks after the Oct 6 record high), with price near $93,000 at the time.
The death cross was subsequently confirmed and widely reported (50-day dipped under the 200-day on Nov 16 while price fell to ~$93k).
Corrections
- conditional condition met: Antecedent objectively held: BTC price remained suppressed (~25% down to ~$93k, no rally) into mid-November, so the conditional is live and scores on the resolved hit.
Effect on the score
+1.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crosses below its 200-day m…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-10-31
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources