Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin forms a local price low in September 2025.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

I do expect a low to form sometime in the months of September

Bitcoin forms a local price low in September 2025.

Made on
2025-09-08
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2025-10-06

Bitcoin registers a local price low (a trough followed by a sustained move higher) during September 2025.

Criterion (a September local low = trough followed by a sustained move higher) met. The trough formed in the first ~two weeks of September (~$107k); the 'sustained move higher' was confirmed by the recovery into October and the Oct 6 new ATH, hence resolved_on 2025-10-06. No conflicting evidence.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • CoinDesk (Sep 12, 2025): 'Bitcoin's historical September low may already be in' — BTC put in its September trough near ~$107k in the first half of the month.

    Evidence

  • BTC recovered through September (monthly close $114,056 on Sep 30) and then rallied to a fresh all-time high of $126,198.07 on Oct 6, 2025 — confirming the September low was a local trough followed by a sustained move higher.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Crypto price/level call takes crypto primary, markets secondary.

Score contribution

+1.84
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin forms a local price low in September 2025.
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2025-09-08

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Evidence firstMethodology