Prediction record
HiteconomyThe Federal Reserve cuts interest rates in September 2025.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hiteconomy“they're probably still going to cut rates in September”
The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates in September 2025.
- Made on
- 2025-08-14
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +3.68
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-09-17
The Federal Reserve announces a cut to the federal funds target rate at or by its September 2025 FOMC meeting.
Criterion (Fed announces a cut at/by the September 2025 FOMC meeting) squarely met: 25 bps cut announced Sep 17, 2025, target range lowered to 4.00%–4.25%. Unambiguous, primary macro event. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
PPI Surges
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
At its Sep 16–17, 2025 FOMC meeting the Federal Reserve cut the federal funds target rate by 25 bps to a range of 4.00%–4.25%, in an 11-to-1 vote (Miran dissenting for a larger cut).
Coverage of the decision confirms the quarter-point cut and dot-plot signaling of two more cuts by year-end, citing labor-market weakness.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+3.68- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +3.68
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates in September 2025.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-08-14
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources