Full record
HitcryptoEthereum will undergo a price correction, likely in September 2025, signalled by a bearish RSI divergence.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“it just seems like it's a matter of time before it comes home to roost, and I think that's going to happen in September.”
Ethereum will undergo a price correction, likely in September 2025, signalled by a bearish RSI divergence.
- Made on
- 2025-08-31
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.51
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-09-30
TRUE if Ethereum's USD price undergoes a meaningful correction (peak-to-trough decline of at least 10% from a local high) during September 2025 (by 2025-09-30).
Criterion: >=10% peak-to-trough decline from a local high during September 2025. Met: ETH corrected from a mid-September local high (~$4,700-$4,780) to below $4,000 / ~$4,192 by late September, a decline clearly exceeding 10%. Exact daily high/low would be firmed up from a historical OHLC source (Investing.com / CoinGecko September 2025 daily), but every credible source agrees the intramonth drop cleared 10%. No outcome value assigned (later stage).
Sources
Trader Benjamin Cowen Warns It's Matter of Time Before Ethereum 'Comes Home To Roost' — Here's His Timeline
The Daily Hodl ·
Evidence of what happened
Ethereum entered September 2025 above $4,500 and put in a local September high around $4,700-$4,780, then corrected sharply, falling to roughly $4,192 by Sep 23 and below $4,000 later in the month ('Ethereum has not traded above $4,000 since September 2025'). Peak-to-trough intramonth decline was on the order of 12-20%, exceeding the 10% threshold.
Independent coverage of the September correction: from the late-August ATH (~$4,946) ETH fell to ~$4,192 by Sep 23 (~15% peak-to-trough over the correction), and a widely cited scenario framed the drop as $4,780 high toward a $3,800 downside risk during the geopolitical (Israel/Qatar) risk-off selloff. Either measurement (from an early/mid-September local high) yields a >10% peak-to-trough decline within September 2025.
Corrections
- Quote wording: Exact first-person direct quote per Daily Hodl; removes the bracketed reconstruction and restores the September commitment anchoring the horizon.
- horizon type: Cowen names the target month; the 2025-09-30 deadline is stated, not inferred.
- Prediction timeframe: Use the pundit's own committing phrase rather than the outlet paraphrase.
Effect on the score
+1.51- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Ethereum will undergo a price correction, likely in Septemb…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-08-31
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources