Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin pulls back to its 20-week SMA (bull market support band) during September 2025.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“Bitcoin revisits the 20we SMA in September”
Bitcoin pulls back to its 20-week SMA (bull market support band) during September 2025.
- Made on
- 2025-08-15
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-09-30
Bitcoin's price declines to touch its 20-week SMA (the bull market support band, 20w SMA / 21w EMA) at some point during September 2025.
BTC's September low (~$107K, early month) sits at the lower edge of the cited 20w-SMA / bull-market support band (~$107K–$110K), so the criterion 'declines to touch its 20-week SMA during September' is met. Exact simple-moving-average touch not computed from raw candles (the available exchange feed only returns recent history), but multiple outlets independently place the band at ~$107K–$110K and BTC's September low within it.
Sources
Bitcoin Dubious Speculation
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
In early September 2025 BTC fell to a weekend low near $107,000 and slid under $110,000; reporting placed the bull market support band (20w SMA / 21w EMA) 'below $110,000', i.e. BTC declined into/through the band region.
Coverage on Sep 12, 2025 noted BTC likely put in its September low around $107,000 near the start of the month; BTC opened September ~$108,253 and traded a $107K–$113K range — overlapping the ~$107K–$110K support band.
By mid-October the same ~$107K–$110K zone was still being described as the bull-market support band under test, corroborating that BTC's September dip to ~$107K reached the 20w-SMA band.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin 20w-SMA pullback claim is crypto-specific; 'crypto' is the more-central primary tag.
Effect on the score
+1.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin pulls back to its 20-week SMA (bull market support…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-08-15
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources