Full record

Misscrypto

Bitcoin posts a negative monthly return in September 2025 (a red September).

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcecrypto

Scored prediction

Misscrypto

I think you're going to see another red September for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin posts a negative monthly return in September 2025 (a red September).

Made on
2025-08-10
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Effect on score
+0.31

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2025-09-30

Bitcoin's September 2025 monthly close is below its August 2025 monthly close (negative monthly return).

Criterion (September monthly close below August monthly close) was NOT met — September closed above August ($114,056 > $108,237). Outcome is determinable; no outcome value assigned.

Sources

  • Ethereum Breaks $4k!

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Bitcoin's August 2025 monthly close was $108,236.71 (Aug 31) and its September 2025 monthly close was $114,056.08 (Sep 30), a positive monthly return of ~+5.4% — a GREEN September, not red.

    Evidence

  • Corroborating reporting notes September 2025 broke Bitcoin's historically weak 'Red September' seasonality by closing higher (~+5.4%) after a down August (~−6.5%).

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+0.31
How sure they sounded
65%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Bitcoin posts a negative monthly return in September 2025 (…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2025-08-10

How this profile was built

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