Prediction record

Hitcrypto

All altcoin/Bitcoin pairs will reach their range lows by the end of October 2025.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

So my guess by September, October, all Bitcoin pairs will be at the range lows.

All altcoin/Bitcoin pairs will reach their range lows by the end of October 2025.

Made on
2025-07-17
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2025-10-10

By 2025-10-31, the broad altcoin-vs-BTC pairs (or an altcoin/BTC index) revisit the low end of their established trading range.

Criterion (revisit the LOW END of the established range by 2025-10-31) is supported: the Oct 10 crash and the late-Oct touch of the 0.10 altcoin/BTC macro-support zone both put altcoin-vs-BTC pairs back at range lows before the deadline. No single canonical 'altcoin/BTC index' reading was captured; assessment rests on the aggregate crash magnitude + support-zone touch + dominance surge. Outcome value (o) intentionally NOT assigned.

Sources

  • ETH / BTC

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Oct 10, 2025 flash crash: while BTC fell ~7%, altcoins collapsed 20-27% (SOL briefly -40%+), driving altcoin-vs-BTC pairs sharply down and revisiting the low end of their range.

    Evidence

  • Late-October 2025: the altcoin-to-Bitcoin ratio touched its ~0.10 'macro support' zone (the low end of its established multi-year range) before bouncing.

    Evidence

  • BTC dominance rose above 60% by Oct 30, 2025, confirming capital rotation out of altcoins into BTC over the window (i.e., altcoins weakened vs BTC).

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Cryptocurrency price/ratio call (altcoin-vs-BTC pairs): dictionary requires crypto primary, markets secondary — matching the correction applied to altcoin-btc-new-cycle-low and ethbtc-higher-end-cycle.

Score contribution

+2.27
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

All altcoin/Bitcoin pairs will reach their range lows by th…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2025-07-17

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