Prediction record
MisscryptoBitcoin's next cycle/local low occurs in August or September 2025.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“I would expect a low in the market around August or September”
Bitcoin's next cycle/local low occurs in August or September 2025.
- Made on
- 2025-06-23
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-12-31
Bitcoin's lowest price between 2025-06-23 and end of 2025 occurs within August or September 2025.
Criterion (the lowest BTC price between 2025-06-23 and end of 2025 falls within Aug or Sep 2025) was NOT satisfied: the window's low occurred in December 2025 (~$83k area), driven by the post-ATH October crash. Aug/Sep 2025 were near local highs. Outcome value deferred.
Sources
Bitcoin Bull Market Support Band
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's lowest prices for the June-2025→year-end window occurred in December 2025, not Aug/Sep. After the 6 Oct 2025 ATH (~$126k), BTC crashed following the 10 Oct tariff shock and fell into the low-$80k/high-$70k zone in December, closing 2025 near $87k. December was explicitly the period BTC traded 'below $80,000.'
In Aug/Sep 2025 BTC was making higher highs (new ATH ~$124k in August; local pullback low only ~$108k in early September) — nowhere near the year's actual low, which came in Q4. 'Bitcoin fell from $126,000 to lows near $80,000 in a matter of months' after the October top.
Corrections
- Quote wording: Stored verbatim was cross-contaminated from the S&P video (ejLTdOohHco); the actual words spoken in this source (GrmJYH08XLU, t=1139s, matching the record's context) are the corrected text. Meaning-level match preserved; logged correction.
- tags: Bitcoin-specific claim; 'crypto' should be primary.
Score contribution
-0.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's next cycle/local low occurs in August or Septembe…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-06-23
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources