Prediction record
MissmarketsBitcoin dominance is higher in ~3 months than on 2025-05-17 (altcoins continue to bleed against Bitcoin).
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Missmarkets“Bitcoin dominance will likely be higher than it is today”
Bitcoin dominance is higher in ~3 months than on 2025-05-17 (altcoins continue to bleed against Bitcoin).
- Made on
- 2025-05-17
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-08-17
Bitcoin dominance on ~2025-08-17 is higher than its level on 2025-05-17.
Different providers use different denominators (TradingView vs CoinGecko incl./excl. stablecoins), but all show the same direction: dominance DECLINED over the window. Criterion (Aug 17 dominance > May 17 dominance) not met. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Around 2025-05-17 Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) was roughly 63.5–64.9% on TradingView's index (a multi-year high; CoinGecko's all-coins measure ~60.4%).
By mid-August 2025 BTC dominance had fallen to ~58–59% amid an ETH/altcoin rally ('dominance declined from 65% in May 2025 to ~59% by August 2025'), i.e. LOWER on ~2025-08-17 than on 2025-05-17.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
-0.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance is higher in ~3 months than on 2025-05-17…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-05-17
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources