Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin / the broader crypto market establishes a significant low between mid-March and mid-April 2025.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“a low sometime between mid-march and mid April”
Bitcoin / the broader crypto market establishes a significant low between mid-March and mid-April 2025.
- Made on
- 2025-03-19
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.91
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-04-07
The crypto market (BTC / total cap) prints its significant correction low between ~2025-03-15 and ~2025-04-15 and does not make a lower low afterward within that window.
Bitcoin/broader crypto established its significant correction low on April 7, 2025 (~$74,420 intraday BTC), squarely within the ~March 15 - April 15 window, and did not make a lower low afterward within that window (it rebounded). Criterion satisfied. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin Pre-FOMC
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin printed a fresh 2025 low of ~$74,420 intraday on April 6-7, 2025 amid the Trump tariff market rout — its lowest value of the year — then rebounded above $78,000 by Monday April 7 afternoon. This low sits inside the criterion's ~2025-03-15 to ~2025-04-15 window.
BTC recovered after the April 7 low (back above $78k same day, toward the low-$80ks into mid-April), so no lower low was made afterward within the window — the April 7 print stands as the significant correction low.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin/crypto-market low; crypto primary, markets secondary per dictionary.
Effect on the score
+1.91- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin / the broader crypto market establishes a significa…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-03-19
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources