Full record
HitmarketsThe US Dollar Index (DXY) puts in its cycle top during Q1 2025.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“the dollar and the long and yal Curve will Top in q1 of 2025 that is my base case”
The US Dollar Index (DXY) puts in its cycle top during Q1 2025.
- Made on
- 2025-01-12
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3.68
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-12-31
The highest DXY level of the 2025 cycle is reached on a date within 2025-01-01..2025-03-31 and is not exceeded on any later date through the remainder of the cycle (measured to end-2025).
Q1 (mid-January) high was the year's peak and held through end-2025. Exact intraday high value varies slightly by data vendor (spot vs futures continuation), but all sources agree the annual high occurred in January and was not surpassed later in 2025. Criterion criterion met on the evidence.
Sources
Cardano: Dubious Speculation
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
DXY printed its 2025 swing high near 110.17-110.18 in mid-January 2025 (~Jan 13-14), then entered a broad downtrend for the rest of the year, trading around 99 by early 2026 — roughly 10% below the January peak. No later 2025 print exceeded the January high; the mid-year cross back above 100 (a 13-month milestone in the recovery) remained far below 110. The highest DXY level of the 2025 cycle therefore fell within Q1 (2025-01-01..2025-03-31) and was not exceeded through end-2025 — the written criterion is satisfied.
Corroborating price history showing the ~110.18 early-2025 swing high and subsequent downtrend.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+3.68- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The US Dollar Index (DXY) puts in its cycle top during Q1 2…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-01-12
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources