Full record
HitmarketsBitcoin dominance drops a considerable amount at some point during 2025.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“at some point this year we will see Bitcoin dominance drop a considerable amount”
Bitcoin dominance drops a considerable amount at some point during 2025.
- Made on
- 2025-01-24
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.94
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-11-30
Bitcoin dominance declines by a considerable amount (>=5 percentage points peak-to-trough) at some point during calendar 2025.
Criterion (dominance declines >= 5 percentage points peak-to-trough at some point during calendar 2025) met: ~65-66% June peak to ~57-58% trough = ~7-8pp. Resolvable and unambiguous on the >=5pp bar. resolved_on set to the approximate trough period in late 2025.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance in 2025
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) reached a cycle high of ~65-66% in June 2025 (peak dated ~June 25, 2025), then declined through H2 2025 to roughly 57-58.8% — approximately an 8 percentage-point peak-to-trough decline, exceeding the 5pp threshold.
Corroboration: BTC.D retreated from its ~65% June 2025 peak toward ~57%, and stood around 56.3% by mid-2026 — confirming a >5pp intra-2025 decline even though a broad 'altcoin season' did not fully materialize.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.94- How sure they sounded
- 90%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin dominance drops a considerable amount at some point…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-01-24
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources