Prediction record
HitcryptoXRP's rally ends (XRP tops and declines from its rally) within about 12 months
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“The rally will be over soon, more than likely.”
XRP's rally ends (XRP tops and declines from its rally) within about 12 months
- Made on
- 2024-12-02
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-04-17
XRP establishes a rally peak and subsequently declines >=20% from that peak (rally ends) before 2025-12-02
Criterion (rally peak followed by >=20% decline before 2025-12-02) clearly met: peak ~$3.40 in Jan 2025, then a ~40%+ decline into spring 2025. XRP later staged additional rallies during 2025, but the record only requires the rally to top and fall >=20%, which occurred in Q1 2025. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
XRP Risk Metric (Enters 0.8-0.9 Risk Band)
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
XRP rallied from ~$0.50 (early Nov 2024) to a peak of ~$3.40 in mid-January 2025 (~Jan 16), a ~580% run — the rally top.
XRP subsequently declined and broke below $2 by April 2025 (~$1.98-2.10 on Apr 17, 2025) — a drop of ~40%+ from the ~$3.40 peak, far exceeding the 20% threshold. The 20% line (~$2.72) was crossed by late February 2025.
Corrections
- tags: XRP price/rally call routes to 'crypto' primary with 'markets' secondary per the tag dictionary.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
XRP's rally ends (XRP tops and declines from its rally) wit…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-12-02
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources