Prediction record
HitmarketsThe US dollar index (DXY) tops out in early January 2025
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“I said when the FED Cuts rates the dollar will rallying to the end of the year and now it's what it's doing I expect the dollar to top out early January”
The US dollar index (DXY) tops out in early January 2025
- Made on
- 2024-12-20
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-01-31
DXY prints its local/cycle peak during the first half of January 2025 and turns lower thereafter.
Criterion met on both prongs: peak occurred in the first half of January 2025 (~Jan 13) and DXY turned lower thereafter for the remainder of 2025. Exact peak date/level should be confirmed against ICE/official DXY settlement data before scoring; secondary sources consistently cite ~110.18 mid-January. No outcome value assigned here.
Sources
The Fed Cuts Interest Rates by 25 bps
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
DXY printed its 2025 cycle high of ~110.18 in the first half of January 2025 (Jan 13, 2025), then turned lower and declined for the rest of the year, closing at 97.96 on Dec 31, 2025 — an ~11% H1 drop, its steepest first-half fall since 1973. This matches the criterion: a local/cycle peak in early-half January followed by a sustained downturn.
Statista/market recap: DXY swung above 109 in January 2025, peaked near 110, then fell through spring/summer below 100 by late June and closed 2025 at 97.96.
Corrections
- Date: Statement was made in the 2024-12-20 video, not the miscited 2024-12-18 one.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The US dollar index (DXY) tops out in early January 2025- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-12-20
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources