Prediction record
MissmarketsADA/BTC (Cardano priced in Bitcoin) rises over the course of 2025
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Missmarkets“I do think Ada Bitcoin has a good chance of of actually going up in 2025”
ADA/BTC (Cardano priced in Bitcoin) rises over the course of 2025
- Made on
- 2024-12-23
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.31
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-12-31
The ADA/BTC ratio closes 2025 higher than it started (net gain on the yearly candle).
Criterion (ADA/BTC closes 2025 higher than it started) not met: the ratio fell ~57% year-over-year. Start/end values are from a secondary FX-history aggregator; before scoring, confirm the Jan 1 2025 open and Dec 31 2025 close against a primary exchange series (e.g. Binance ADABTC daily). Direction (down) is robust across sources. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Cardano: Dubious Speculation
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ADA/BTC fell over calendar 2025: ~0.0000092 BTC per ADA at the start of January 2025 vs ~0.0000039 at end of December 2025 (BTC/ADA rose from ~108,599 to ~254,576), an ~57% decline. The 2025 yearly candle closed lower, not higher.
Corroborating: ADA continued to underperform BTC into 2026 (ADA/BTC ~0.0000025 by mid-2026), consistent with a full-year 2025 net decline against Bitcoin.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+0.31- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.31
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
ADA/BTC (Cardano priced in Bitcoin) rises over the course o…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-12-23
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources