Prediction record
MisscryptoThe ETH/BTC ratio prints its cycle bottom on or before 2025-01-31 (before February 2025)
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“my base case is that e Bitcoin will bottom before February”
The ETH/BTC ratio prints its cycle bottom on or before 2025-01-31 (before February 2025)
- Made on
- 2024-11-23
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.46
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-04-09
ETH/BTC's lowest print of the cycle occurs on or before 2025-01-31
Criterion: ETH/BTC's lowest print of the cycle occurs on/before 2025-01-31. Contradicted — in January 2025 ETH/BTC was ~0.033-0.036, and it printed materially lower values throughout Feb-Apr 2025, reaching ~0.0177 on 2025-04-09. So the lowest print did NOT occur on/before 2025-01-31. Caveat: whether April 2025 is definitively THE terminal cycle bottom is uncertain (ETH/BTC made further multi-month lows into 2026), but that only reinforces that the bottom was after 2025-01-31. Outcome value (o) not assigned.
Sources
ETH / BTC
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ETH/BTC continued falling well past January 2025, dropping below 0.02 on 2025-04-09 to a cycle low around 0.0177 (ETH ~$1,471) — the lowest since Feb 2020, far below any January 2025 level.
ETH/BTC hit a 5-year low in late April 2025 (~0.0177-0.01805), confirming the bottom formed in April 2025, not before February.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+0.46- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.46
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The ETH/BTC ratio prints its cycle bottom on or before 2025…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-11-23
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources