Full record
MisscryptoThe ETH/BTC ratio prints its cycle bottom on or before 2025-01-31 (before February 2025)
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“my base case is that e Bitcoin will bottom before February”
The ETH/BTC ratio prints its cycle bottom on or before 2025-01-31 (before February 2025)
- Made on
- 2024-11-23
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.46
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-04-09
ETH/BTC's lowest print of the cycle occurs on or before 2025-01-31
Criterion: ETH/BTC's lowest print of the cycle occurs on/before 2025-01-31. Contradicted — in January 2025 ETH/BTC was ~0.033-0.036, and it printed materially lower values throughout Feb-Apr 2025, reaching ~0.0177 on 2025-04-09. So the lowest print did NOT occur on/before 2025-01-31. Caveat: whether April 2025 is definitively THE terminal cycle bottom is uncertain (ETH/BTC made further multi-month lows into 2026), but that only reinforces that the bottom was after 2025-01-31. Outcome value (o) not assigned.
Sources
ETH / BTC
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
ETH/BTC continued falling well past January 2025, dropping below 0.02 on 2025-04-09 to a cycle low around 0.0177 (ETH ~$1,471) — the lowest since Feb 2020, far below any January 2025 level.
ETH/BTC hit a 5-year low in late April 2025 (~0.0177-0.01805), confirming the bottom formed in April 2025, not before February.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+0.46- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The ETH/BTC ratio prints its cycle bottom on or before 2025…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-11-23
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources