Prediction record

Misscrypto

Ethereum will decline over November and December 2024, then begin recovering in 2025

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Misscrypto

eth will drop in November and December collectively at and then start to go back up in 2025

Ethereum will decline over November and December 2024, then begin recovering in 2025

Made on
2024-11-03
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
-1.33

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2024-12-31

ETH closes lower at 2024-12-31 than at 2024-10-31 (net decline across Nov-Dec)

Criterion = ETH closes lower on 2024-12-31 than on 2024-10-31. FALSE: $3,340.16 > $2,518.78. ETH rose over Nov–Dec 2024. Criterion not met (did not occur).

Sources

  • Ethereum: Going Home

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • ETH daily close on 2024-10-31 was $2,518.78; ETH daily close on 2024-12-31 was $3,340.16 — a NET GAIN of ~+32.5% across Nov–Dec 2024, the opposite of the predicted net decline.

    Evidence

  • Corroborating direction: ETH rallied post-US-election (Nov 5, 2024), reaching ~$3,900+ in mid-December and $4,000+ intraday, driven by spot-ETH-ETF inflows and Trump-win sentiment.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

-1.33
Confidence
85%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
-1.33

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Ethereum will decline over November and December 2024, then…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2024-11-03

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Evidence firstMethodology