Prediction record
MisscryptoBitcoin dominance reaches its cycle peak within six to seven weeks of 2024-11-20 (by approximately early-to-mid January 2025)
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“I think it will probably top out within the next six to seven weeks”
Bitcoin dominance reaches its cycle peak within six to seven weeks of 2024-11-20 (by approximately early-to-mid January 2025)
- Made on
- 2024-11-20
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-06-30
BTC dominance prints its cycle high on or before ~2025-01-08
Criterion (cycle high on/before ~2025-01-08) is clearly falsified: dominance made repeated higher highs after early January (60.5% in April, ~65% around June 2025). Resolution knowable once the higher highs printed; resolved_on set to ~mid-2025 when the dominance peak region was in. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BTC dominance did NOT print its cycle high by ~2025-01-08. It continued rising through 2025: it crossed 60.0% for the first time in four years on 2025-04-07 (60.5%) and made multi-year highs around ~65% near June 2025 — well above any early-January level.
Consistent with a mid-2025 (not January) dominance peak: BTC.D's 2025 annual average (~59.3%) sits above its early-2025 starting level, and the trend was upward for roughly the first half of the year before easing.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
-0.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance reaches its cycle peak within six to seve…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-11-20
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources