Prediction record
MisscryptoThe ETH/BTC ratio will bottom out during Q4 2024
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“eth Bitcoin will very likely bottom out in Q4 of 2024”
The ETH/BTC ratio will bottom out during Q4 2024
- Made on
- 2024-10-22
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -1.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-04-09
ETH/BTC prints its local cycle low within Q4 2024 (lowest point followed by a sustained reversal higher)
Criterion (ETH/BTC prints its local cycle low within Q4 2024 followed by a SUSTAINED reversal higher) is NOT met: any Q4-2024 low (~late Nov 2024) was followed by renewed decline to new multi-year lows (~0.0177 on 2025-04-09). No sustained reversal higher originated in Q4 2024. Not assigning an outcome value.
Sources
Ethereum: Dubious Speculation
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ETH/BTC did NOT bottom in Q4 2024; it fell to a much lower cycle low of ~0.0177 (dipping below 0.02) on 2025-04-09 during the 'Liberation Day' tariff selloff — its lowest since Feb 2020.
CoinGecko's ratio history confirms the deepest losses came in early 2025 (below 0.02 in April 2025), not Q4 2024; the Q4-2024 local dip (~Nov 2024) was followed by a bounce that was NOT sustained.
Corrections
- tags: A cryptocurrency-pair (ETH/BTC) call carries 'crypto' as the primary dictionary tag; 'markets' remains as secondary.
Score contribution
-1.86- Confidence
- 90%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -1.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The ETH/BTC ratio will bottom out during Q4 2024- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-10-22
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources