Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin dominance will reach 60% by the end of Q4 2024
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“Bitcoin dominance should reach 60% in Q4 of 2024”
Bitcoin dominance will reach 60% by the end of Q4 2024
- Made on
- 2024-10-17
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-11-21
BTC dominance (BTC.D) prints at or above 60% at some point on or before 2024-12-31
Criterion (BTC.D >= 60% at some point on or before 2024-12-31) is met on the standard TradingView CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D measure Cowen uses (61.79% on 2024-11-21), corroborated by CoinGecko/CoinMarketCap. Measurement caveat worth flagging for scoring: some aggregator summaries date the 'first clean >60%' to ~2025-04-07 using a different/close-basis or stablecoin-excluded denominator; the intraday TradingView reading clearly exceeded 60% in Nov 2024, so the criterion is met on the reference measure.
Sources
Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BTC.D (TradingView) reached a peak of 61.79% on 2024-11-21, then declined to 59.6% by 2024-11-23 — i.e. BTC dominance printed at/above 60% before 2024-12-31, satisfying the criterion.
Corroborating trackers: multiple sources report Bitcoin dominance peaked at ~61.8% in November 2024 (post-US-election), with 2024 dominance ranging ~52-61% and peaking that month.
Corrections
- Date: made_on must equal the airing date of the source that contains the quote (O3XE67iw0Xs, 2024-10-17).
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance will reach 60% by the end of Q4 2024- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-10-17
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources