Prediction record
HitmarketsThe ETH/BTC ratio falls to and bottoms in the 0.03–0.04 zone (trades at or below 0.04) by the end of 2024.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“it was always going to go below 04 and it bottoms out somewhere between 03 to 04 and and here we are finally below 04”
The ETH/BTC ratio falls to and bottoms in the 0.03–0.04 zone (trades at or below 0.04) by the end of 2024.
- Made on
- 2024-09-16
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-11-06
The ETH/BTC ratio trades at or below 0.04 (reaching the 0.03–0.04 zone) at some point on or before 2024-12-31.
Criterion (ETH/BTC trades at or below 0.04, reaching the 0.03–0.04 zone, on or before 2024-12-31) was satisfied within the window: the ratio traded ~0.033–0.036 through Nov–Dec 2024. resolved_on set to 2024-11-06 as a concretely documented sub-0.04 date; it was likely first reached in Aug–Sep 2024. (Outcome value/scoring deferred.)
Sources
Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ETH/BTC lost the 0.05 level at the end of July 2024 and stayed below 0.05 for 14 consecutive months, i.e. it was already trading below 0.04 through late 2024 (only reclaiming 0.04 in late Aug 2025).
On 2024-11-06 the ratio hit a multi-year low as BTC surged to record highs after the US election, and by 2025-02-05 it was at ~0.028 — the trajectory through Nov–Dec 2024 was firmly at/below 0.04.
Computed year-end value: ETH close ~$3,337 / BTC close ~$93,429 on 2024-12-31 ≈ 0.0357 — inside the predicted 0.03–0.04 zone and at/below 0.04.
Corrections
- Quote wording: The cited verbatim is absent from every cited transcript; this is the actual fetched_primary auto-caption (sOyiTORlbBY t≈360s) expressing the same 0.03-0.04 bottom claim. Logged correction; quote_status stays fetched_primary.
- statement context: The original context (containing '0.25') is not found in the source; replaced with verifiable context supporting the deadline.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The ETH/BTC ratio falls to and bottoms in the 0.03–0.04 zon…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-09-16
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources