Prediction record
MisscryptoThe ETH/BTC ratio carves out its cycle bottom between September and December 2024
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“ETH Bitcoin will carve out a bottom between September and December”
The ETH/BTC ratio carves out its cycle bottom between September and December 2024
- Made on
- 2024-09-20
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -1.33
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-04-09
ETH/BTC prints its cycle low within Sep 1–Dec 31 2024 and does not make a lower low in the subsequent months of the cycle
Criterion requires the cycle low within Sep 1–Dec 31 2024 with NO lower low afterward. A clearly lower low occurred in April 2025 (~0.0177) and the ratio made further lows in 2025–2026, so the Sep–Dec 2024 bottom-timing claim is falsified. Not assigning outcome/score.
Sources
ETH / BTC: Finding The Bottom
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ETH/BTC fell to a ~5-year low of ~0.0177 on/around April 9, 2025 (dropped below 0.02 for the first time since Feb 2020) amid the April 2025 'Liberation Day' tariff selloff — a materially LOWER low than anything printed in the Sep 1–Dec 31 2024 window (ratio was ~0.033–0.039 in late 2024).
Ether continued to underperform: ETH/BTC hit fresh multi-month lows again into 2026 (CoinDesk, May 2026, 10-month low), confirming the Sep–Dec 2024 area was not the cycle bottom.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
-1.33- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -1.33
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The ETH/BTC ratio carves out its cycle bottom between Septe…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-09-20
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources