Prediction record
MisscryptoETH/BTC rises during 2025
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
MisscryptoโI think eth Bitcoin will go up in 2025โ
ETH/BTC rises during 2025
- Made on
- 2024-08-08
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.46
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-12-31
ETH/BTC is higher at the end of 2025 than at the start of 2025 (net rise during 2025)
Criterion: ETH/BTC higher at end of 2025 than at start of 2025 (net rise). Deadline 2025-12-31 has passed. The full-year 2025 change was net negative (~-4.46%), i.e. ETH/BTC fell over 2025 despite a large mid-year rally that later reversed. Criterion not met on a net-change basis. Note: exact Jan-1 and Dec-31 daily prints should be confirmed against a canonical price source (e.g., Yahoo ETH-BTC history) at scoring; the aggregate direction (down) is consistent across multiple sources. (No outcome value assigned.)
Sources
ETH/BTC Outlook
YouTube ยท
Outcome evidence
For calendar 2025 the ETH/BTC rate was down about -4.46% net (start-of-2025 ratio ~0.0357; 2025 average ~0.0298; 2025 low ~0.01805 in April, 2025 high ~0.04134). Net = ETH/BTC LOWER at year-end than at the start of the year.
Corroborating year-end weakness: ETH fell ~28% in Q4 2025 (worse than BTC), with a poor December, as the year's mid-2025 ETH/BTC recovery faded โ consistent with a net decline over 2025.
By May 2026 ETH/BTC had fallen to a 10-month low, confirming ETH continued to underperform BTC into 2026 (context, post-deadline).
Corrections
- tags: ETH/BTC direction call is a crypto claim; crypto must be primary per the crypto-vs-markets rule.
Score contribution
+0.46- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.46
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
ETH/BTC rises during 2025- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-08-08
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources