Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin does not print a new all-time high in August or September 2024

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Hitcrypto

August September probably not going to see new time highs

Bitcoin does not print a new all-time high in August or September 2024

Made on
2024-08-18
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2024-09-30

BTC does NOT exceed its March 2024 all-time high at any point during August–September 2024

Criterion: BTC does NOT exceed its March 2024 ATH (~$73,581) at any point during Aug-Sep 2024. Evidence is unambiguous: BTC stayed in the ~$49k-66k range across Aug-Sep 2024, well under the March high, and did not set a new ATH until November 2024. Condition (no new ATH in the window) held. Outcome value not assigned.

Sources

  • Bitcoin Monthly Returns

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's pre-window all-time high was $73,581 on 2024-03-14. During August-September 2024 BTC traded well below that: it closed August 2024 at ~$58,970 (Aug 31) and peaked only in the ~$63-66k range in late September, never exceeding the March 2024 ATH.

    Evidence

  • Bitcoin ATH timeline confirms no new all-time high was set in Aug-Sep 2024; the March 2024 ~$73.5k high stood until BTC broke it later, after the November 2024 US election (surpassing $75k in Nov 2024).

    Evidence

  • 99bitcoins ATH history: $73,581 (Mar 14, 2024) remained the record through the Aug-Sep 2024 period; the next new ATH came in Nov 2024.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+1.84
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin does not print a new all-time high in August or Sep…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2024-08-18

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Evidence firstMethodology