Full record
MisscryptoBitcoin dominance declines during 2025
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“next year good chance dominance is going to go down”
Bitcoin dominance declines during 2025
- Made on
- 2024-08-10
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.46
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-12-31
BTC dominance (BTC.D) is lower at the end of 2025 than at the start of 2025 (net decline during 2025)
Criterion: BTC.D lower at end of 2025 than at start of 2025 (net decline). Evidence points the OTHER way — dominance began 2025 in the upper-50s (~57-58%), rose above 60% in April 2025, and was ~59-60% in mid/late December 2025 (CoinDesk Dec 18). Multiple sources describe 2025 as a third consecutive up-year for BTC dominance. No net decline observed; if anything a modest net rise. Minor uncertainty on the exact 2025-12-31 print (late-Dec readings ~58-60% depending on data provider/pullback), but it does not reach a net decline. Outcome value not assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
CoinGecko research: 'Bitcoin Dominance on the Rise for 3rd Consecutive Year' — BTC.D rose steadily through 2025, annual average 59.3% (range 53.0%–63.2%), up from 51.9% average in 2024; started 2025 in the upper-50s and crossed 60% for the first time in four years in April 2025.
CoinDesk (2025-12-18): 'BTC dominance hits 60%' near year-end 2025 — dominance elevated in the high-50s to ~60% in December 2025, not below its ~57-58% start-of-2025 level.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+0.46- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin dominance declines during 2025- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-08-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources