Full record
MissmarketsThe US dollar is higher six months from 2024-04-10 (by 2024-10-10)
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Missmarkets“I probably going to see the dollar higher in six months than it is today”
The US dollar is higher six months from 2024-04-10 (by 2024-10-10)
- Made on
- 2024-04-10
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- -0.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-10-10
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is higher on 2024-10-10 than its 2024-04-10 level.
Baseline 2024-04-10 DXY 105.28 vs evaluation 2024-10-10 DXY 102.89: the dollar was lower, not higher, over the six-month window. Data is unambiguous; no outcome value assigned (scoring is a later stage).
Sources
CPI
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
US Dollar Index (DXY) daily close was 105.28 on 2024-04-10 (the day of a hotter-than-expected March CPI print that spiked the dollar) and 102.89 on 2024-10-10 — i.e. DXY was ~2.39 points LOWER on the 2024-10-10 evaluation date than on the 2024-04-10 baseline. Values from Yahoo Finance historical chart data for DX-Y.NYB.
Corroborating context: DXY troughed near 99.9 in late September 2024 and then rallied ~4% through the end of October; on 2024-10-10 it was only partway through that rebound (~102.9), still below the April 10 (~105.3) level.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
-0.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The US dollar is higher six months from 2024-04-10 (by 2024…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-04-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources