Full record
HiteconomyThe Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged at its March 2024 FOMC meeting
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“the FED is likely not going to Pivot in March only a 1% chance of a rate cut even in May they're saying only about an 8.9% chance of a rate cut”
The Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged at its March 2024 FOMC meeting
- Made on
- 2024-03-15
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.76
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-03-20
The FOMC leaves the federal funds target range unchanged (no cut) at its March 2024 meeting.
Official primary source (Federal Reserve). No ambiguity: the FOMC left the target range unchanged at 5.25%-5.50% on 2024-03-20, matching the criterion. Deadline 2024-03-20.
Sources
Inflation Report
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
FOMC statement of March 20, 2024: the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent (no cut). Decision was unanimous. This directly satisfies the written criterion (range left unchanged at the March 2024 meeting).
Contemporaneous reporting (CNBC) confirms the Fed held rates steady at the March 2024 meeting and maintained its projection of three 2024 cuts; it was the fifth consecutive hold.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.76- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged at its…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-03-15
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources