Prediction record
HiteconomyUS job openings (JOLTS) will continue declining over the coming months.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hiteconomy“Remember, this metric will likely continue going down in the coming months because the trend that we've been witnessing has been job openings has been dropping.”
US job openings (JOLTS) will continue declining over the coming months.
- Made on
- 2023-12-09
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-06-09
JOLTS job openings print a net decline over the months following Dec 2023 (through ~mid-2024).
Criterion asks for a net decline in JOLTS openings over the months following Dec 2023 through ~mid-2024. Official BLS data (via FRED) show a clear net decline over that window (Dec 2023 → Jun 2024), notwithstanding minor month-to-month upticks in Feb and May. The trend was already evident by the deadline period. resolved_on set to the deadline; the June 2024 print (released Jul 30, 2024) later confirmed the ~7.4M level.
Sources
Jobs Report
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BLS/FRED JOLTS Total Nonfarm Job Openings (JTSJOL, seasonally adjusted, current vintage) declined net over the window: Dec 2023 = 8,520K; Jan 8,378K; Feb 8,440K; Mar 8,206K; Apr 7,529K; May 7,782K; Jun 2024 = 7,416K — a net drop of ~1,104K (~13%) from Dec 2023 to Jun 2024, despite a small Feb and May uptick.
BLS JOLTS release for December 2023 (issued Jan 30, 2024) reported job openings of roughly 9.0M on the original vintage, establishing the starting level of the declining trend cited in the claim.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+1.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
US job openings (JOLTS) will continue declining over the co…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-12-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources