Full record

Hitcrypto

The ETH/BTC ratio will break down (make a lower low) during December 2023.

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcecryptomarkets

Scored prediction

Hitcrypto

ether Bitcoin needs to break down and I think it's probably going to happen this month is my guess

The ETH/BTC ratio will break down (make a lower low) during December 2023.

Made on
2023-12-05
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Effect on score
+1.84

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2023-12-31

The ETH/BTC ratio prints a lower low / breaks below its prior support during December 2023.

Criterion = ETH/BTC prints a lower low / breaks prior support during December 2023. Evidence (0.0502 on 2023-12-20, 'lowest since mid-2021') indicates the criterion was MET — a new multi-year lower low was printed in December 2023. Note ETH rallied late in the month (ETH ~$2,400 by month-end), but the lower low had already printed mid-December, satisfying the criterion. Outcome value left to scorer.

Sources

  • Bitcoin Dominance

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • ETH/BTC printed ~0.0502 on 2023-12-20 — described as its lowest level since mid-2021 — i.e. a new lower low during December 2023, breaking below prior 2023 support.

    Evidence

  • Grayscale: the ETH/BTC ratio declined throughout 2023 to its lowest level since mid-2021 (Ether +82% vs Bitcoin +162% for the year) — confirming continued relative breakdown into year-end 2023.

    Evidence

  • CoinGecko: ETH/BTC sustained sub-0.05-region weakness and multi-year lows through this period, corroborating a December 2023 lower low.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: A crypto-token relative-price call → crypto primary; carry markets secondary per the crypto/markets boundary rule.

Effect on the score

+1.84
How sure they sounded
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

The ETH/BTC ratio will break down (make a lower low) during…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2023-12-05

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