Full record
HiteconomyUS core CPI year-over-year inflation will be below 4% for May 2024.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“in May of 2024 I would I would assume that core inflation will be less than 4%”
US core CPI year-over-year inflation will be below 4% for May 2024.
- Made on
- 2023-12-13
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.51
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-06-12
The core CPI year-over-year rate for the May 2024 reference month prints below 4.0%.
Criterion met: May 2024 core CPI YoY printed 3.4%, comfortably below 4.0%. The official print was published 2024-06-12, before the record's 2024-05-31 deadline had its data available (the reference month is May 2024; the print resolved shortly after).
Sources
CPI Report
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
BLS CPI report for the May 2024 reference month (released June 12, 2024): core CPI (all items less food and energy) rose 3.4% over the prior 12 months — below the 4.0% threshold. This continued a steady deceleration (core was 3.6% in April 2024).
Historical core inflation table corroborating the May 2024 core CPI year-over-year figure of 3.4%.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+1.51- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
US core CPI year-over-year inflation will be below 4% for M…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-12-13
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources