Prediction record
HitmarketsThe ETH/BTC ratio will break down (decline) over the short term.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“If it's going to break down then I would assume it's going to do so sometime in the next few weeks.”
The ETH/BTC ratio will break down (decline) over the short term.
- Made on
- 2023-11-24
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.51
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-01-09
ETH/BTC trades below its level at the time of the call (a downside break/decline) at some point within ~3 months.
Criterion (ETH/BTC trades below its ~0.0552 call-time level at some point within ~3 months) is clearly satisfied: the downside break occurred repeatedly, with the trough at 0.04788 on 2024-01-09 during the spot-BTC-ETF week. Primary exchange data (Coinbase spot). No outcome value assigned.
Sources
ETH/BTC Outlook
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Coinbase ETH-BTC daily candles: at the time of the call (2023-11-24) ETH/BTC closed 0.05519 (open 0.05529). It traded below that level within days (2023-11-27 close 0.05443, 2023-12-06 close 0.05102) and reached its deepest short-term breakdown low of 0.04788 on 2024-01-09, ~13% below the call level, remaining well below the call level through the ~3-month window.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+1.51- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.51
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The ETH/BTC ratio will break down (decline) over the short…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-11-24
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources