Full record
MissmarketsBitcoin will not make a new 2023 high — its next high is a lower high, no daily close above the 2023 year-to-date peak before 2023-12-31
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Missmarkets“I think it's unlikely for us to put in a a new yearly high.”
Bitcoin will not make a new 2023 high — its next high is a lower high, no daily close above the 2023 year-to-date peak before 2023-12-31
- Made on
- 2023-10-03
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- -0.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-12-05
Bitcoin/USD does not exceed its 2023 year-to-date peak price at any point between made_on and 2023-12-31 (i.e., the year's high is already in).
Claim (Bitcoin's next high is a lower high; the 2023 year-high is already in) is contradicted. BTC exceeded its July 2023 YTD peak from ~late October 2023 onward and set a new 2023 high in December. No conflicting credible evidence.
Sources
Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's 2023 pre-October peak was ~$31,800 (mid-July 2023). After the 2023-10-03 utterance, BTC broke above that level in late October and continued higher, reaching a 2023 high of ~$44,130-$44,705 on 2023-12-05. It closed the year at $42,265.19 (Dec 31 2023). BTC therefore DID make a new 2023 high and closed well above its year-to-date peak on many daily closes before 2023-12-31 — the criterion (no daily close above the 2023 YTD peak) is not met.
Secondary confirmation: Bitcoin's highest 2023 price was $44,129.56 on Dec 5 2023 (BTC high ~$44,705 in December), far above July's ~$29-31k, confirming a new 2023 high was made in Q4.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
-0.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will not make a new 2023 high — its next high is a…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-10-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources