Prediction record
HiteconomyThe Fed does not signal it is finished hiking at the September 2023 FOMC, leaving the door open for a November 2023 hike
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hiteconomy“I would not expect them to close the door on another rate hike just yet”
The Fed does not signal it is finished hiking at the September 2023 FOMC, leaving the door open for a November 2023 hike
- Made on
- 2023-09-18
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-09-20
At the September 2023 FOMC the Fed does not close the door on another rate hike (leaves a November hike possible)
Criterion (Fed does not close the door on another hike at the Sept 2023 FOMC) is directly satisfied by the SEP/dot-plot and Powell's hawkish presser. Note: one WebSearch summary misstated the target range as 3.5-3.75%; the correct Sept 2023 range was 5.25%-5.50% per the CNBC/primary source. Outcome value not assigned per instructions.
Sources
Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
At the Sept 19-20, 2023 FOMC the Fed held the target range at 5.25%-5.50% but did NOT close the door on more hikes: the updated dot plot showed 12 of 19 officials projecting one additional hike in 2023, and Powell delivered a hawkish 'higher-for-longer' message keeping a November hike possible.
Coverage of the Sept 2023 dot plot confirming a majority of participants penciled in one more rate increase before year-end, i.e. the door to a November hike was left open.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The Fed does not signal it is finished hiking at the Septem…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-09-18
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources