Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin will form a death cross (50-day SMA crossing below the 200-day SMA) by approximately mid-September 2023.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“we would be expecting a death cross probably you know within a week or so okay so maybe by mid next week we would get some type of a death cross”
Bitcoin will form a death cross (50-day SMA crossing below the 200-day SMA) by approximately mid-September 2023.
- Made on
- 2023-09-06
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-09-11
Bitcoin's 50-day SMA crosses below its 200-day SMA (a death cross) on or before ~2023-09-15.
The predicted event — Bitcoin's 50-day SMA crossing below its 200-day SMA (a death cross) on or before ~2023-09-15 — did occur, with sources dating confirmation to ~Sept 11–12, 2023 (BTC ~$25k). resolved_on set to 2023-09-11 as the earliest widely-cited crossover date; some outlets cite Sept 12. Either date falls within the ~mid-September / on-or-before 2023-09-15 criterion. (That it later proved a 'false signal' preceding a rally is an interpretation of significance, not relevant to whether the crossover itself formed.)
Sources
Bitcoin: Death Cross
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin formed a 50-day/200-day SMA death cross in September 2023 with price bottoming below $25,000 at the time; widely reported as confirming ~Sept 11–12, 2023.
Retrospective analyses list the September 2023 Bitcoin death cross (~$25,000) as one of the recent 50/200 SMA death-cross occurrences — subsequently a false bearish signal that preceded a large rally, but the crossover itself did occur.
Standard 50/200-day moving-average (golden/death cross) chart for BTC, corroborating a bearish crossover in the ~$25k price zone during September 2023.
Corrections
- Quote wording: Current verbatim stitches two non-adjacent sentences; replace with the single contiguous sentence (~853s) carrying both the commitment and the horizon, so verbatim is a faithful continuous passage.
Effect on the score
+1.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will form a death cross (50-day SMA crossing below…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-09-06
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources