Prediction record

Missmarkets

Ethereum will close 2023 below its yearly open (~$1,195).

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcemarkets

Scored record

Missmarkets

there is a very high chance that eth will close the year below the yearly open just like it did in 2019

Ethereum will close 2023 below its yearly open (~$1,195).

Made on
2023-08-22
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
-1.86

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2023-12-31

ETH/USD 2023 yearly close (2023-12-31) is below the 2023 yearly open (~$1,195).

Criterion (2023 yearly close below the ~$1,195 yearly open) not met — ETH closed ~$2,282, roughly double the open. Prediction did not come true. Note: some sources (e.g., Yahoo's adjusted feed) list the 2023 'open' as ~$2,445; the ~$1,195 figure in the criterion matches the widely-cited actual Jan-1-2023 open, and either way the ~$2,282 close is above ~$1,195. Deadline used as resolved_on.

Sources

  • Ethereum: Homecoming

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • ETH/USD opened 2023 at approximately $1,196 (Jan 1, 2023) and closed 2023 at approximately $2,282 (Dec 31, 2023) — an ~+90% year. The yearly close was FAR ABOVE the ~$1,195 yearly open, not below it.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

-1.86
Confidence
90%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
-1.86

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Ethereum will close 2023 below its yearly open (~$1,195).
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2023-08-22

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Evidence firstMethodology