Full record
MisscryptoThe April 2023 peak (~$31,000) stands as Bitcoin's 2023 yearly high — Bitcoin does not exceed it for the rest of 2023.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“I would argue that there's a high a high probability that the local Highs are in or even the yearly High could be in”
The April 2023 peak (~$31,000) stands as Bitcoin's 2023 yearly high — Bitcoin does not exceed it for the rest of 2023.
- Made on
- 2023-06-05
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- -0.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-12-05
Bitcoin never exceeds its April 2023 high (~$31,000) at any point for the remainder of calendar 2023.
Criterion clearly falsified — the April 2023 ~$31,000 peak did NOT stand as the 2023 yearly high. BTC first exceeded ~$31,000 during the late-October 2023 spot-ETF-optimism surge (rose past ~$34–35k around 2023-10-23/24), then extended to a $44,130 yearly high on 2023-12-05. resolved_on set to the well-documented $40k+/yearly-high breakout; note the criterion was actually first breached in late October 2023. No conflicting evidence.
Sources
Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Criterion violated: Bitcoin exceeded its ~$31,000 April 2023 high later in 2023, breaking $40,000 for the first time in 18 months on 2023-12-03 and rallying to ~$42k on 'panic buying'.
Bitcoin's actual 2023 yearly high was ~$44,130 on 2023-12-05 (BTC +155% for the year), far above the ~$31,000 April 2023 peak.
December 2023 breakout driven by spot-ETF anticipation and rate-cut bets; BTC topped $41k and hit a 19-month high.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price/level call → 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary per dictionary.
Effect on the score
-0.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The April 2023 peak (~$31,000) stands as Bitcoin's 2023 yea…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-06-05
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources