Prediction record

Misscrypto

Bitcoin will not trade above $35,000 at any point in 2023 (its maximum upside for the year is ~$35k).

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Misscrypto

I think the max upside for Bitcoin this year is 35k

Bitcoin will not trade above $35,000 at any point in 2023 (its maximum upside for the year is ~$35k).

Made on
2023-06-25
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+0.46

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2023-10-24

BTC spot price does not exceed $35,000 at any point during calendar 2023.

Criterion ('BTC does not exceed $35,000 at any point in 2023') was falsified. First breach ~2023-10-24 (~$35.1k), then a decisive move to a $44.1k year-high on 2023-12-05.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • BTC first exceeded $35,000 late on 2023-10-23/24, reaching ~$35,113 intraday — its highest since May 2022 — on spot-ETF optimism. This breaches the $35k ceiling before year-end.

    Evidence

  • BTC continued well above $35k, hitting a 2023 year-high of $44,129.56 on 2023-12-05 and closing the year at $42,265.19. Maximum 2023 upside far exceeded the ~$35k ceiling.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Cryptocurrency price/level bet: dictionary requires 'crypto' primary and 'markets' secondary.

Score contribution

+0.46
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+0.46

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will not trade above $35,000 at any point in 2023 (…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2023-06-25

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Evidence firstMethodology