Full record
MisscryptoBitcoin's 2023 rally fades — BTC price declines / fails to sustain its rally and retraces into the lower part of its range — in the second half of 2023.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“my base case is that we will fade this the Bitcoin rally will get faded through the second half of this year”
Bitcoin's 2023 rally fades — BTC price declines / fails to sustain its rally and retraces into the lower part of its range — in the second half of 2023.
- Made on
- 2023-06-12
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.46
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-12-31
Bitcoin's price ends the second half of 2023 (by 2023-12-31) net below its ~2023-06-12 level, i.e. the mid-2023 rally is not sustained.
Criterion asks whether BTC ended H2 2023 net BELOW its ~2023-06-12 level (~$25.9k). It ended at ~$42.3k, ~63% higher — the criterion was NOT met. Directionally clear; outcome value assignment deferred to scoring stage.
Sources
Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price call → 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary per dictionary.
Effect on the score
+0.46- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin's 2023 rally fades — BTC price declines / fails to…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-06-12
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources