Full record
MisscryptoBitcoin has roughly six green and six red monthly closes in 2023 (plus or minus one)
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“I think this year is likely going to be either six and six or seven and five or five and seven right where it's mostly uh you know most likely it's just going to be half the year is red half the year is green”
Bitcoin has roughly six green and six red monthly closes in 2023 (plus or minus one)
- Made on
- 2023-05-01
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 1 / 5
- Effect on score
- -0.28
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-12-31
BTC's 12 monthly candles in 2023 yield 5–7 green months (and correspondingly 5–7 red)
Feb 2023 is marginally green (+$8, +0.03%); even if a provider counts Feb as flat/red the tally is 8 green / 4 red, still outside the 5–7 range. So the 5–7-green criterion is robustly not met regardless of the Feb edge case. Count uses standard candle color (close vs open). resolved_on = final monthly close of 2023. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin: Monthly Returns
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
BTC 2023 monthly closes: Jan $23,139, Feb $23,147, Mar $28,478, Apr $29,269, May $27,220, Jun $30,477, Jul $29,230, Aug $25,931, Sep $26,968, Oct $34,668, Nov $37,713, Dec $42,265. Using each candle's open = prior month's close (Dec-2022 close ~$16,540): green months = Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr, Jun, Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec (9); red months = May, Jul, Aug (3). That is 9 green / 3 red, outside the 5–7 green band the criterion requires.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
-0.28- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 1 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin has roughly six green and six red monthly closes in…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-05-01
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources