Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin continues to outperform the altcoin market (Bitcoin season) for at least another one to two months
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“we're going to stay in Bitcoin season frankly for another month or two at least”
Bitcoin continues to outperform the altcoin market (Bitcoin season) for at least another one to two months
- Made on
- 2023-05-05
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.51
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-07-05
BTC outperforms the broad altcoin market (BTC.D rises / altcoin-BTC pairs fall net) over the ~1–2 months following early May 2023
Criterion (BTC outperforms the broad altcoin market / BTC.D rises net over the ~1–2 months after early May 2023, through ~2023-07-05) satisfied: BTC.D rose over the period and the June ETF-driven rally was strongly BTC-led. resolved_on set to the deadline (end of the evaluation window).
Sources
Bitcoin Vs. Altcoins: Recent ROI Comparison
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) broke out to the upside in June 2023, 'signaling the end of long-range action between 38% and 48%' — i.e. BTC gained market share from altcoins during the mid-2023 rally, consistent with continued 'Bitcoin season' through early July 2023.
The BlackRock spot-ETF filing (June 15, 2023) drove a BTC-led rally: BTC rose from ~$24,800 to above $30,000 in the week after June 15 while altcoins conspicuously lagged, pushing BTC.D higher — direct evidence BTC outperformed the broad altcoin market over the May→early-July window.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin-vs-altcoin dominance is a crypto-market call — crypto primary, markets kept secondary per the crypto-vs-markets rule.
Effect on the score
+1.51- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin continues to outperform the altcoin market (Bitcoin…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-05-05
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources