Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin dominance reaches approximately 49% in the near term.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“I think we are going to be knocking on the door relatively soon of 49”
Bitcoin dominance reaches approximately 49% in the near term.
- Made on
- 2023-05-17
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.51
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- Not provided
Bitcoin dominance reaches ≥49% at any point on or before 2024-05-17.
Criterion (dominance ≥49% at any point on/before 2024-05-17) is met — reached by late 2023/January 2024 and sustained. Exact first-touch date depends on data provider and stablecoin-inclusion convention, so resolved_on left null; the ≥49% threshold is unambiguously crossed regardless of convention.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
BTC dominance rose steadily through H2 2023 and stood at ~49% around the January 2024 spot-ETF approval, then continued into the low-to-mid 50s through early 2024 — clearly ≥49% well before the 2024-05-17 deadline.
Dominance charts (CoinMarketCap/TradingView) confirm BTC dominance in the ~50%+ range across late 2023 and early 2024, inside the claim window.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+1.51- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin dominance reaches approximately 49% in the near ter…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-05-17
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources