Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin's price will fall back during summer and the second half of 2023
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“we likely will see prices fall back in especially as we get into to the summer time and the second half of the year”
Bitcoin's price will fall back during summer and the second half of 2023
- Made on
- 2023-04-21
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.76
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-08-17
Bitcoin trades at a lower price than the utterance-date level at some point during summer / H2 2023.
Criterion (BTC trades below the ~$27,326 utterance-date level at some point during summer/H2 2023) is clearly met: BTC spent much of August-October 2023 in the ~$25,000-$27,000 range, below the April 21 level, before the late-October rally. resolved_on set to the mid-August 2023 breakdown; the lower-than-utterance condition holds across an extended H2 window.
Sources
Bitcoin: Summer Lull 2.0?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Utterance-date reference level: Bitcoin's closing price on April 21, 2023 was $27,326.18.
During H2 2023 BTC fell well below that level: it slumped to ~$25,370-$25,500 on/around August 31, 2023, probing the August low reached after the ~Aug 17-18 sell-off.
BTC August 2023 monthly close was $25,931.47 and the September 2023 average close was ~$26,306.14 — both below the April 21 level of $27,326, confirming BTC traded lower during summer/H2 2023.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price/level claim → crypto primary, markets secondary; ['markets']-only would misroute off the crypto sub-score.
Effect on the score
+2.76- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin's price will fall back during summer and the second…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-04-21
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources