Full record
MisscryptoBitcoin/USD breaks below its June 2022 low, making a new lower low
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“I do fully believe that it it will happen”
Bitcoin/USD breaks below its June 2022 low, making a new lower low
- Made on
- 2023-04-30
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- -1.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2026-04-30
BTC/USD trades below its June 2022 low (~$17,600) at any point within the window
The full window (to 2026-04-30) has now elapsed (today 2026-07-12), so the 'at any point within the window' condition is fully observable and definitively not met. Caution flag on a widely-circulated bad data point: StatMuse states a '$15,672 on Nov 21, 2023' Bitcoin low — that is a year mix-up for the Nov 2022 FTX-collapse low; BTC did NOT trade at $15,672 in 2023 (2023 low was ~$16,500 on Jan 1, before the made_on date, and ~$24,900 within the window). Do not treat that figure as an in-window breach. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Criterion: BTC/USD trades below its June 2022 low (~$17,600) at any point in the window 2023-04-30 → 2026-04-30. After 2023-04-30, BTC's lowest print was ~$24,900–$25,370 in Aug/Sep 2023; it never again approached $17,600. From there BTC rallied to new all-time highs — over $73,000 in early 2024 (post spot-ETF launch) and above $100,000 in 2025 — so the ~$17,600 June-2022 low was never breached during the window.
BTC 2023 monthly closes never fell below the mid-$20,000s (lowest monthly close Aug 2023 $25,931; lowest intramonth ~$24,900 Sep 2023), and 2024–2025 were strongly bullish. The window closed 2026-04-30 with no sub-$17,600 trade at any point.
Corrections
- tags: Claim is about Bitcoin's USD price; crypto is the correct primary tag, markets secondary per the crypto price rule.
Effect on the score
-1.86- How sure they sounded
- 90%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin/USD breaks below its June 2022 low, making a new lo…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-04-30
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources