Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin dominance breaks above 49%
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“I'm still looking to see the dominance break above 49”
Bitcoin dominance breaks above 49%
- Made on
- 2023-04-30
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-09-01
BTC dominance (BTC.D) trades above 49% at any point within the window
Criterion (BTC.D above 49% at any point in window) is clearly satisfied. Dominance was ~45.6% average in 2023 but rose through the year, crossing 49–50% by around September 2023 and reaching the 52–65% range in 2024–2025. resolved_on set to the ~Sept 2023 crossing/holding above 50% (hence above 49%); exact first-tick above 49% may be marginally earlier. Index-provider differences (with/without stablecoins) shift absolute levels slightly but not the >49% conclusion.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
BTC dominance crossed and held above 50% from around September 2023 and has not dipped below 50% since — the longest sustained run above 50% since early 2017. It therefore traded above 49% within the window (2023-04-30 → 2026-04-30).
BTC dominance rose to a 2024 annual average of 51.9%, ranging between roughly 52% and 61% during 2024 (peaking around November 2024), and reached ~60.5% in April 2025 — all far above the 49% threshold.
Corrections
- tags: BTC dominance is a cryptocurrency level metric → crypto primary, markets secondary.
Effect on the score
+1.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin dominance breaks above 49%- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-04-30
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources